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                                                    您所在的位置:化工资讯 > 卓创视点 > 正文
                                                    相较人棉纱企而言 粘短企业提价将更为迫切
                                                    卓创资讯 钟婷婷 2019-02-15 11:42:18

                                                    导语:?#35789;?#20381;节后粘短提涨后价格核算,高密R30S交投仍?#38047;?#32422;4%盈利,而2019年春节前粘短企业进步让利移库,亏损扩大至约-11%,相较人棉纱企而言,粘短企业提价将更为迫切。

                                                    图1

                                                    2017年至2018年间,粘短市场价整体呈下滑态势,主因2018年行业扩能,粘短企业积极出货控制库存,下游压价按需寻采,对粘短价格压制相较明显,2018年末场内收盘价较2017年初下挫约18.7%。

                                                    图2

                                                    依当日粘短市场价及成本价核算,近五年间行业年均利润于2017年涨至峰值约7%,2018年回吐至约-2%。

                                                    2018年末企业实盘交投利润约-9%,2019年春节前企业进步让利移库,亏损扩大至约-11%。

                                                    人棉纱企料粘短企业节后提价,节前普遍对其补仓至2月底前后,节后伊始粘短企业如期报涨300-400元/吨,?#35789;?#20381;照13500元/吨(承兑)核算,粘短企业实盘交投仍?#38047;?9%亏损压力。

                                                    图3

                                                    依往年轻纺城人棉布交易量来看,年内基本于3月开始增量,4-5月推至年内峰值,而将利好其上游产品市场需求。

                                                    近期粘短企业?#38047;?#35746;单支撑及亏损压力,或将坚守价坚态势,?#20381;?#22909;人棉纱价格,彼此行情亦?#38047;?#30456;互提振效应,?#35789;?#20381;节后粘短提涨后价格核算,高密R30S交投仍?#38047;?#32422;4%盈利,纱企对粘短寻采仍可稳步推进,且因纱市利润优于粘短,粘短企业提价力度及心态将相对迫切。

                                                     

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